Disappointments of 2009… where to start?

Happy 2010, folks. Figured after the break I’d kick off the year with a list of things I was hoping to see in 2009 but, sadly, didn’t see.

Might as well get talk of EEStor out of the way. The introduction of 2010 was another missed deadline for ZENN Motor, the Toronto-based electric car company that was expecting Texas-based EEStor to deliver its first commercial EESU. As readers of this blog know, the EESU is supposed to be a disruptive energy-storage device based on a new type of ultracapacitor made of barium titanate. Missed deadlines are nothing new for EEStor and ZENN, so I don’t think anyone was entirely surprised. We could just as well hear a positive announcement this week, since it makes no sense for ZENN to announce news during the holiday break. So while I’m disappointed, I continue to be as curious and hopeful as I was last year. That said, I’m more disengaged than ever with this story. Really, there’s no point in speculating. The news will come when it comes, or it won’t. Meanwhile, there’s a lot of other cool and potentially groundbreaking stuff going on in the world of energy storage and green technologies in general.

Of course, I’m disappointed that Canada is stonewalling action on climate change. Our federal government refused last year to sign the country up to the newly created International Renewable Energy Agency. It has failed to move forward on its so-called climate strategy, which itself is insufficient. It has failed to extend its successful EcoEnergy program for renewables and has not signalled its intent to do so, even though the program has run out of funding. It has left Sustainable Development Technology Canada in the dark about its future funding, which runs out early this year. It has failed to embrace the potential of geothermal power in the west. It embarrassed the country during the Copenhagen talks. And it has put Alberta’s and Saskatchewan’s fossil fuel industries — and the profits of the companies behind it — ahead of the interests of all Canadians, while at the same time failing to recognize the economic opportunities of green-energy development and energy efficiency.

I’m disappointed that Canadian banks have been more interested in looking green and less interested in supporting green ideas with their financial heft. A vice-president of operations at one of these institutions admitted as much to me – the consistent reluctance of banks to see opportunity in green-energy development projects, even when many of these projects have snagged long-term power purchase agreements and are therefore low risk. Why does a wind developer in Toronto have to rely on capital from Germany or the United States or the Middle East when the future revenue flow from a project is pretty much guaranteed by an agency of Ontario? The executive told me the one main reason: Canadian banks, already more conservative than their European and American peers, simply aren’t familiar with doing these kinds of deals, while the European and U.S. banks have gained more experience and comfort with the sector. Maybe it’s time to climb the learning curve.

The reluctance of the government — federal and Ontario — to consider the issuance of green bonds has also been frustrating. Issuing a couple of billion dollars in green bonds would give citizens a stable investment that would also raise money for local green infrastructure projects, such as an electric high-speed train from downtown Toronto to Pearson Airport, or between Toronto and Montreal. Such funds could also be set aside as loan guarantees for renewable energy developers, which have struggled to convince our risk-adverse banks (see previous point) to supply debt capital to large projects.

Finally — okay, I could go on and on, but have to draw the line somewhere — I’m disappointed that the vast majority of the planet still doesn’t get climate change, in part because of an orchestrated disinformation campaign by certain lobby groups intent on spreading confusion as a way to delay action. I’m disappointed that a 10-second radio or TV soundbite from a scientific nobody can persuade Joe and Jane Public that climate change isn’t a problem, our problem, or anything we can prevent. I’m disappointed that many people truly believe we can continue to open up the earth and release the carbon in fossil fuels without any dire long-term consequences, direct or indirect, to our species; that there’s a significant portion of the population who believe Sarah Palin more than Barack Obama on the facts about climate change. Every now and then I watch this video from Carl Sagan to remind me of what’s at stake.

Now, I don’t mean to be negative, you know. I truly believe that a lot of good happened in 2009 that will set a positive tone for 2010 and beyond, and I’m convinced we’re heading in the right direction — even if it’s too slow and half-hearted. This, to me, will be a decade of profound change — a make or break decade that will determine the future for my kids and your kids, and their kids.

Personally, I’m positioning myself to play an even more active role in effecting this change. I’ll keep you all posted as things evolve. All the best in the year ahead. Good health, and much happiness.

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5 Responses to “Disappointments of 2009… where to start?”

  1. Jeff Harti Says:

    Tyler,

    Thanks for all the interesting and useful posts in ’09 and look forward to more of the same in ’10. Here’s hoping lots of good news items to write about and more Ontarians making a positive impact more at home and abroad.

    Cheers,

    - jeff

  2. crf Says:

    You forgot the seemingly terminal decline in AECL, under a government over-invested in oil-sands as a future energy source for this country, to the detriment of all others (especially nuclear).

    Nuclear, after hydro, is the second largest low carbon electricity source. It is the only source which has a chance to grow to a level necessary to electrify our transport sector, Canada wide. And it is an industry in which we have expertise and technology that can now be exported, and will have much future demand worldwide. I think it is funny that the press has ignored this implications of this story. What is happening now in this area will affect Canada’s energy policy greatly in the future. Far more than the oil sands ever will.

    When oil gets to be over 100$ a barrel and stays there, Ontarians will be tempted to secede if Canada still has no plans to rid itself of its fossil fuel dependency.

    Tyler, there are lots of people with energy expertise in our Universities. Could you please promise to ask them for their ideas about Canadian energy policy? Right now they are voiceless in the press. Utterly voiceless.

  3. Dick Weirdo Says:

    “I continue to be as curious and hopeful as I was last year.”

    Mr. Tyler, What is your hope based on in this EESCAM story? Zenn’s Ian Clifford has been scamming investors since 2006 with his “imminent” reveal messages.
    —————————————————————
    Are you aware of this Official Statement from Zenn Motor Corp’s Facebook page.
    http://www.facebook.com/pages/ZENN-Motor-Company/29515539696?ref=search&sid=599869549.2149014..1
    “ZENN Motor Company Our partners in Texas are heads down at work and appreciate the built up anticipation of what they are commercializing. That stated, they’ll communicate further updates on their progress when they are ready. In the meantime we continue our ZENNergy product and business development-related activities. Best wishes for …2010! May it be profoundly energizing for all of us.”
    —————————————————————-

    When you speak to Dick Weir, why don’t you ask him about the lies in the leaked audio call from June 2009, specifically about EESCAM was ahead of schedule to deliver EESUs to Zenn.

    Dick Weir would make an excellent snake oil salesman.

    Happy New Year to all!

  4. Alex W Says:

    Tyler,

    Interesting comments on the need for banks to start climbing the learning curve. Something to consider, as pointed out in the Dec. 5th edition of the Economist: the US banks that were big in clean energy finance have for the most part gone belly up. I’m not drawing a causal relationship here, by the way, but rather making the point that an interesting opportunity for the Canadian 5 would involve – instead of climbing a learning curve – simply buying the expertise that is now presumably pounding the pavement south of the border. That’s a tried and true model, of course, and one that has fed a lot of recent stories about New York I-bankers parachuting into Canadian banks and investment houses.

    Of course, it may be that most of carbon trading and clean tech finance shops in Lehman Brothers, Wachovia, etc. were part of the package when these players were picked up by even larger fish. That, in an of itself, would an interesting story: how much that expertise was valued as part of the choices being made last year by Bank of America and others gobbling up the road kill.

    Keep up the good work.

    A

  5. Enoch Says:

    Should we take action regarding global warming??
    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-1242011/DAVID-ROSE-The-mini-ice-age-starts-here.html